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Advanced Manufacturing Students' Probability & Statistics Exam, Summer 2005, Exams of Mathematics

A past exam from the bachelor of science (honours) in advanced manufacturing technology and bachelor of science (honours) in process plant technology programs at cork institute of technology. The exam covers probability and statistics concepts, including calculating probabilities of events, determining independence of events, and analyzing data using statistical methods. Students were required to answer three questions within 1.5 hours, with statistical tables provided.

Typology: Exams

2012/2013

Uploaded on 03/29/2013

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Cork Institute of Technology
Bachelor of Science (Honours) in Advanced Manufacturing Technology
Bachelor of Science (Honours) in Process Plant Technology
Summer 2005
Bridging Mathematics
(Time: 1.5 hours)
Answer three questions.
All questions carry equal marks.
Statistical tables are provided.
Examiners: Mr. D O’Hare
1. (a) In a factory, machines A, B and C produce, respectively, 50, 20 and 30 percent of
the total output. Of their respective outputs 5, 3 and 2 percent are defective. An
item is chosen at random.
(i) What is the probability that it is not defective?
(ii) If it is found not to be defective, what is the probability that it was produced by
machine C? (8 marks)
(b) P(A) = 0.4, P(B)=0.5 and P(A or B) = 0.8.
Show that A and B are not independent. (6 marks)
(c) An incoming lot of silicon wafers is to be inspected for defectives by an engineer in
a microchip manufacturing plant. In a tray containing twenty wafers, assume that
four are defective. Three wafers are to be randomly selected for inspection. Find
the probability that
(i) all three are non-defective;
(ii) at least one of the three is non-defective. (6 marks)
2. (a) The probability that an electronic timer is non-conforming is 0.02. A sample of
size 1000 is taken from a large batch of such items. Determine the probability of
finding more than non-conforming timers
(i) using the Binomial distribution;
(ii) using the Poisson approximation. (8 marks)
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Cork Institute of Technology

Bachelor of Science (Honours) in Advanced Manufacturing Technology Bachelor of Science (Honours) in Process Plant Technology

Summer 2005

Bridging Mathematics

(Time: 1.5 hours)

Answer three questions. All questions carry equal marks. Statistical tables are provided.

Examiners: Mr. D O’Hare

  1. (a) In a factory, machines A, B and C produce, respectively, 50, 20 and 30 percent of

the total output. Of their respective outputs 5, 3 and 2 percent are defective. An item is chosen at random. (i) What is the probability that it is not defective? (ii) If it is found not to be defective, what is the probability that it was produced by machine C? (8 marks)

(b) P(A) = 0.4, P(B)=0.5 and P(A or B) = 0.8.

Show that A and B are not independent. (6 marks)

(c) An incoming lot of silicon wafers is to be inspected for defectives by an engineer in a microchip manufacturing plant. In a tray containing twenty wafers, assume that four are defective. Three wafers are to be randomly selected for inspection. Find the probability that (i) all three are non-defective; (ii) at least one of the three is non-defective. (6 marks)

  1. (a) The probability that an electronic timer is non-conforming is 0.02. A sample of size 1000 is taken from a large batch of such items. Determine the probability of finding more than non-conforming timers (i) using the Binomial distribution; (ii) using the Poisson approximation. (8 marks)
  1. (b) A loom experiences breakdowns at a rate of one every 10 hours, on average, with breakdowns occurring according to the pattern of a Poisson distribution. A particular style of cloth that is being produced will take 30 hours on this loom. What is the probability that in the period during which the cloth is produced ther will be (i) no breakdown of the loom? (ii) more than two loom breakdowns? (6 marks)

(c) Specifications require that a product have certain quality characteristics, which can only be determined by a destructive test. The current inspection scheme is to select an initial sample of four items from each batch. If all four meet the quality specification, we accept the batch. If two or more fail, we reject the batch. If one fails, we take a further sample of two items. If both pass the inspection, we accept the batch, otherwise we reject. What is the probability that we accept a batch that is 5% defective? (6 marks)

  1. (a) In a large industrial complex, the maintenance department has been instructed to replace light bulbs before they burn out. It is known that the life of light bulbs is normally distributed with mean 1000 hours and standard deviation 80 hours. (i) What proportion of bulbs last for longer than 950 hours? (ii) After how many hours use should light bulbs be replaced so that no more than 15% of them will burn out while in use? (10 marks) (b) A software company has developed a new product and wishes to estimate the mean time taken to learn how to use this product by people who are familiar with the use of computers. A random sample of 12 such persons was selected. The following data give the times taken (in hours) by these persons to learn how to use the new software.

(i) Calculate the sample mean and the sample standard deviation. (ii) Find a 99% confidence interval for the mean learning time. Find also a 99% lower confidence limit on this mean learning time. (10 marks)